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U.S. Department of Health and Human Services

About FDA

Modeling Framework to Estimate the Public Health Impact of CTP Activities

Description: Develop modeling framework to use in understanding the impact of certain policy and marketing authorization decisions on population health. Two models are presently in development to address: (1) the relative impact of policies on tobacco-related opinions and behavior over the short-term (such as initiation and cessation rates); and (2) the long-term impact on tobacco use prevalence, morbidity, and mortality in the U.S.

Milestones with N/A were completed prior to the project incorporation into FDA-TRACK.

Briefing Status: Delayed

Prior Briefing Status: Delayed

Milestone DescriptionMilestone DateMilestone StatusMilestone Completion Date

1. Implement an Interagency Agreement with the Department of Energy/Sandia National Laboratories


Completed N/A

2. Develop preliminary modeling framework that incorporates initiation, cessation, and smoking-related mortality


Completed N/A

3. Conduct meeting with representatives from CTP, CDC, and Sandia to provide input and feedback


Completed N/A

4. Produce preliminary report demonstrating model capabilities and examining hypothetical scenarios


Completed 8/1/2011

5. Present method development and preliminary findings to CTP during in person visit


Completed 12/14/2011

6. Produce report/presentation of results after expansion and refinement to take into account racial/ethnic diversity, multiple tobacco products; and multiple causes of death



7. Submit modeling methodology for publication in peer-reviewed journal


Completed 5/30/2013


  • (1) The milestone status reflects the current reporting quarter’s status. If a milestone is missed, the milestone will remain delayed until the milestone is completed.

Key Projects Legend

Milestone StatusDefinition
Not Yet StartedWork for specific milestone has not yet been started.
CompletedMilestone and/or overall project is completed.
On TrackMilestone - On track for completion by milestone deadline. Quarter status - Project is on track for completion based on overall milestone status.
On HoldMilestone - On hold, but deadline for completion has not passed. Quarter status - Project is on hold, based on overall milestone status.
DelayedMilestone - Delayed as it has not been completed and deadline has passed. Quarter status - Project is delayed based on overall milestone status.


Note: The data provided on this website is produced on an ongoing basis for performance management purposes and is subject to change due to updates of preliminary estimates, corrections, or other reasons. In addition, FDA may change the type or amount of data provided on this website at any time. Information marked as "Completed" may include measures and/or key projects for which activities are ongoing but no longer tracked as part of FDA-TRACK.